INDIANAPOLIS — The next loosening of coronavirus restrictions in Indiana is scheduled for Memorial Day weekend, if all goes well. The Holcomb administration is offering a little more detail on what “going well” would mean.

Governor Holcomb has said the state needs to have the capacity to test anyone who has symptoms, trace their contacts, and take care of patients who fall critically ill. And he’s said there needs to be a two-week downward trend in the number of hospitalized patients.

But state health commissioner Kristina Box says the state will also keep an eye on death rates. She notes Holcomb’s roadmap for emerging from a six-week lockdown advises senior citizens and people with underlying health conditions, the groups most at risk from the virus, to maintain stricter social distancing even after the last of the restrictions is lifted. Holcomb says how well Hoosiers continue to keep their distance, wear masks, and take basic precautions like hand washing will determine the state’s course.

Although the roadmap sets a goal of lifting restrictions by Fourth of July weekend, Holcomb warns those basic precautions will probably need to continue through the end of the year, and possibly longer.

And Holcomb and Box say an important factor in deciding whether to relax limits further will be the results of a study by I-U-P-U-I’s Fairbanks School of Public Health. Researchers are expected to deliver their first round of findings over the weekend, and Box says she expects to discuss them publicly sometime in the first half of next week.

While the state has expanded testing, it remains mostly limited to people with symptoms or in high-risk groups. The Fairbanks study set out to test a scientific sample of at least five-thousand Hoosiers from across the state, in the first attempt to determine how many people in Indiana have contracted the virus without experiencing symptoms.

If the state sticks to the roadmap’s timetable, gyms, movie theaters, playgrounds, campgrounds and swimming pools would be allowed to reopen on Memorial Day weekend. Stores and malls, which reopened Monday at half capacity, would be allowed to bump that up to three-quarters capacity, and a cap on mass gatherings would be raised from 25 people to 100.